TX-23 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
56.7
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
56.7enters as 56.7
Democrats win
43.3enters as 100 − 43.3 = 56.7
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does TX-23 decide the House?
No single seat does on today’s prices.
TX-23 is one of the 37 contested seats. Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 12
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for TX-23? - Brandon Herrera57.0Will Democratic win the House race for TX-23? - Katy Padilla Stout44.0Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?58.5Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?41.5Will Brandon Herrera win the Texas 23rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?62.0Will Katy Padilla Stout win the Texas 23rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?38.0
Show all 12 contracts
Texas-23 House Winner - Brandon Herrera60.0TX-23 General Election — Tony Gonzales2.5TX-23 General Election — Katy Padilla Stout37.5TX-23 General Election — Brandon Herrera62.5Texas-23 House Winner - Katy Padilla Stout44.0Will Tony Gonzales win the Texas 23rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?6.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 56.7 · rows open on the exchange
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