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Cuba
Market-implied armed-conflict heat for this country, with the contributing prediction-market contracts.
13.0
PMIWhat PMI meansPMI is the index's own 0–100 score — NOT the probability of a market's wording. Every contract is oriented to the index's theme, so a “below / no / peace” market shows a HIGH PMI when that outcome is unlikely. 100 = markets fully back the index's direction, 50 = balanced, 0 = the opposite.
CalmConflict
6
Contracts
3
Prediction Market Exchanges
6
PMI Holdings
PMI Holdings
Exchanges
31.7PMI
Will the United States conduct a military strike against Cuba in 2026?Manifold
$5.9k
8.8PMI
Will the US attack Cuba before the 2026 midterm elections?Manifold
$4.6k
13.0PMI
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Polymarket
$4.1k
7.0PMI
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Polymarket
$378
15.0PMI
Will the United States attack Cuba before 2027?Metaculus
$126
13.0PMI
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Polymarket
$0