Venezuela
Armed-conflict risk on Venezuela, priced from live prediction-market contracts and weighted by the money behind each one into a single PMIPrediction Market Index: a 0–100 reading of what traders are paying on live contracts, weighted by the money behind each one., which rolls up into Americas and the world reading.
LIVE$12 TRADED / 24H·2 CONTRACTS·2 EXCHANGES·AMERICAS·AS OF OCT 27, 17:57 UTC
3.9Calm risk · 32nd of 36 countries · thin book
— 24h · — 7d
— 24h · — 7d
Venezuela reading · Sep 27 – Oct 27
Sep 27Oct 27
10.130D HIGH
2.230D LOW
▼ 6.230D CHANGE
✦ ASK ABOUT VENEZUELA
What is driving Venezuela's reading?What traders are pricing
The contracts that move Venezuela
Right-hand figure: share of today’s real-money volume. Rows open on the exchange.
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?4%Will another country support Venezuela militarily?6%
2 contracts carry all of today's volume. 1 of the 2 trade under $5K a day, so one trade can move them.
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