Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
One question, with every dated and reworded contract that asks it. Only one exchange lists it today.
LIVE$45K TRADED / 24H·1 CONTRACT·1 EXCHANGE·IRAN
What the market prices
20%implied chance this resolves yes
0 · WON’T HAPPEN50100 · CERTAIN
30-day range · Polymarket
30d low 13.0 · Sep 2930d high 21.0 · Oct 24
Where the books disagree
One exchange, one price
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