Will the US and Iran achieve a lasting resolution?
Facing contract: US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?
One question, with every dated and reworded contract that asks it. 2 contracts on 1 exchange are folded here; the deepest book sets the price.
LIVE$131K TRADED / 24H·2 CONTRACTS·1 EXCHANGE·IRAN
What the market prices
45%implied chance this resolves yes
0 · WON’T HAPPEN50100 · CERTAIN
30-day range · Polymarket
30d low 31.5 · Oct 2530d high 60.0 · Oct 18
Where the books disagree
One exchange, one price
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Other questions on Iran
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