If Russia doesn’t agree to the ceasefire, will America provide more assistance to Ukraines war efforts within 90 days?
One question, with every dated and reworded contract that asks it. Only one exchange lists it today.
LIVE1 CONTRACT·1 EXCHANGE·RUSSIA
What the market prices
43%implied chance this resolves yes
0 · WON’T HAPPEN50100 · CERTAIN
30-day range · Manifold
30d low 43.0 · Sep 2730d high 43.0 · Sep 27
Where the books disagree
One exchange, one price
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