NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
One question, with every dated and reworded contract that asks it. Only one exchange lists it today.
LIVE$35K TRADED / 24H·1 CONTRACT·1 EXCHANGE·RUSSIA
What the market prices
16%implied chance this resolves yes
0 · WON’T HAPPEN50100 · CERTAIN
30-day range · Polymarket
30d low 14.0 · Oct 2730d high 49.0 · Oct 23
Where the books disagree
One exchange, one price
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