Will Russia attack a NATO member before 2031?
Facing contract: Russia attacks a NATO member before 2031?
One question, with every dated and reworded contract that asks it. 2 contracts on 1 exchange are folded here; the deepest book sets the price.
LIVE2 CONTRACTS·1 EXCHANGE·RUSSIA
What the market prices
46%implied chance this resolves yes
0 · WON’T HAPPEN50100 · CERTAIN
30-day range · Manifold
30d low 46.0 · Sep 2730d high 46.0 · Sep 27
Where the books disagree
One exchange, one price
Only Manifold lists this question, so there is no cross-exchange read to compare. If another exchange lists the same question, it joins this page rather than appearing separately.
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