Will the US and Russia start a new nuclear arms race before 2028?
One question, with every dated and reworded contract that asks it. Only one exchange lists it today.
LIVE1 CONTRACT·1 EXCHANGE·RUSSIA
What the market prices
18%implied chance this resolves yes
0 · WON’T HAPPEN50100 · CERTAIN
30-day range · Manifold
30d low 18.1 · Oct 530d high 30.0 · Sep 27
Where the books disagree
One exchange, one price
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