Will there be fighting in St. Petersburg, Russia’s major northern city, during 2026?
One question, with every dated and reworded contract that asks it. Only one exchange lists it today.
LIVE1 CONTRACT·1 EXCHANGE·RUSSIA
What the market prices
11%implied chance this resolves yes
0 · WON’T HAPPEN50100 · CERTAIN
30-day range · Manifold
30d low 11.2 · Oct 630d high 13.2 · Sep 27
Where the books disagree
One exchange, one price
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