US provides military aid to Russia before January 20, 2029
One question, with every dated and reworded contract that asks it. Only one exchange lists it today.
LIVE1 CONTRACT·1 EXCHANGE·RUSSIA
What the market prices
21%implied chance this resolves yes
0 · WON’T HAPPEN50100 · CERTAIN
30-day range · Manifold
30d low 20.6 · Sep 2730d high 20.6 · Sep 27
Where the books disagree
One exchange, one price
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