Afghanistan

Armed-conflict risk on Afghanistan, priced from live prediction-market contracts and weighted by the money behind each one into a single PMIPrediction Market Index: a 0–100 reading of what traders are paying on live contracts, weighted by the money behind each one., which rolls up into Asia and the world reading.

LIVE$363 TRADED / 24H·1 CONTRACT·1 EXCHANGE·ASIA·AS OF OCT 27, 16:57 UTC
59.6Elevated risk · 3rd of 36 countries · thin book
— 24h  ·  — 7d
Afghanistan reading · Sep 27 – Oct 27
Sep 27Oct 27
100.030D HIGH
1.130D LOW
▲ 3.930D CHANGE
What traders are pricing

The contracts that move Afghanistan

Right-hand figure: share of today’s real-money volume. Rows open on the exchange.

1 contract carry all of today's volume. 1 of the 1 trade under $5K a day, so one trade can move them.

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