Asia
Every country in Asia, weighted by GDP and population, rolled into one PMIPrediction Market Index: a 0–100 reading of what traders are paying on live contracts, weighted by the money behind each one.. Countries with no market count as zero.
LIVE$18K TRADED / 24H·9 OF 30 COUNTRIES PRICED·34 CONTRACTS·2 EXCHANGES·AS OF OCT 27, 16:57 UTC
8.8Asia · 2nd of 5 regions
▲ 0.8 24h · ▲ 0.8 7 days
▲ 0.8 24h · ▲ 0.8 7 days
Asia reading · Sep 27 – Oct 27
Sep 27Oct 27
16.130D HIGH
5.830D LOW
▼ 5.430D CHANGE
✦ MICAH BRIEF · ASIAUPDATED 16:57 UTC
Asia reads calm, 2nd of 5 regions. China led the week, up 0.7.
China rose to 10.1 this week+0.7Afghanistan reads highest in Asia59.6
21 of 30 countries have no market—
COLOR = PMI · GRAY = NO MARKET
PMI 0–100
015304560
No market — a coverage gap, not peace
By country · 9 of 30 priced · tap one
Countries ranked by PMI
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COUNTRYPMI24H7D
Afghanistan ›THIN1 contract · $36359.6——Pakistan ›THIN4 contracts · $54631.6——Philippines ›THIN1 contract · $2K18.5——North Korea ›THIN2 contracts · $2K14.3——India ›THIN3 contracts · $6K10.8——China ›23 contracts · $15K10.1+0.3+0.7Taiwan ›THIN3 contracts · $1K6.8——South Korea ›THIN2 contracts · $2K4.0——Japan ›THIN4 contracts · $6K3.9——Thin = under $10K a day, where one trade can move the price. — = no move recorded for this window.
Contracts to watch · ASIA
Where the money is
QUESTIONYES24H VOL
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Polymarket · China12%$6KWill China initiate a military conflict with Japan?Manifold ◦, Polymarket · China · 2 contracts4%$6KChina will directly engage in a military conflict before end of 2026Manifold ◦ · China6%Ṁ4KJapan has a nuclear weapon by end 2030?Manifold ◦ · Japan10%Ṁ3KAll of the EU, USA, China and Russia fragmented by the end of 2030?Manifold ◦ · China3%Ṁ3KWill a serious war break out between two of the major military powers (NATO, US, China, Russia, Europe) before 2028?Manifold ◦ · China18%Ṁ3KAll 31 questionsA question folds every contract that asks it, across exchanges. 24h vol = real money traded today. ◦ = play money, not counted.