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Home›Global War Index›Asia

Asia Conflict Index

Regional armed-conflict heat — a GDP/population-weighted mean over the region's full country roster (absent countries count as 0).

17.5
PMIWhat PMI meansPMI is the index's own 0–100 score — NOT the probability of a market's wording. Every contract is oriented to the index's theme, so a “below / no / peace” market shows a HIGH PMI when that outcome is unlikely. 100 = markets fully back the index's direction, 50 = balanced, 0 = the opposite.
CalmConflict
55
Contracts
3ManifoldMetaculusPolymarket
Prediction Market Exchanges
55
PMI Holdings
Region conflict map

Countries

75.4PMI

Myanmar Conflict Index

Country

A prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Myanmar, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.

asia
1 Contracts
47.4PMI

Cambodia Conflict Index

Country

A prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Cambodia, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.

asia
1 Contracts
47.4PMI

Thailand Conflict Index

Country

A prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Thailand, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.

asia
1 Contracts
31.9PMI

Kyrgyzstan Conflict Index

Country

A prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Kyrgyzstan, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.

asia
1 Contracts
31.9PMI

Tajikistan Conflict Index

Country

A prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Tajikistan, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.

asia
1 Contracts
31.8PMI

Taiwan Conflict Index

Country

A prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Taiwan, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.

asia
19 Contracts
25.0PMI

Philippines Conflict Index

Country

A prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Philippines, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.

asia
3 Contracts
23.7PMI

China Conflict Index

Country

A prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in China, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.

asia
39 Contracts
22.8PMI

Afghanistan Conflict Index

Country

A prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Afghanistan, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.

asia
2 Contracts
19.8PMI

Japan Conflict Index

Country

A prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Japan, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.

asia
6 Contracts
13.3PMI

Pakistan Conflict Index

Country

A prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Pakistan, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.

asia
4 Contracts
12.0PMI

Vietnam Conflict Index

Country

A prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Vietnam, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.

asia
1 Contracts
8.3PMI

South Korea Conflict Index

Country

A prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in South Korea, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.

asia
3 Contracts
7.8PMI

India Conflict Index

Country

A prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in India, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.

asia
5 Contracts
6.8PMI

Bangladesh Conflict Index

Country

A prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Bangladesh, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.

asia
1 Contracts
3.6PMI

North Korea Conflict Index

Country

A prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in North Korea, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.

asia
1 Contracts