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Africa Conflict Index

Regional armed-conflict heat — a GDP/population-weighted mean over the region's full country roster (absent countries count as 0).

11.5
PMIWhat PMI meansPMI is the index's own 0–100 score — NOT the probability of a market's wording. Every contract is oriented to the index's theme, so a “below / no / peace” market shows a HIGH PMI when that outcome is unlikely. 100 = markets fully back the index's direction, 50 = balanced, 0 = the opposite.
CalmConflict
9
Contracts
3ManifoldMetaculusPolymarket
Prediction Market Exchanges
9
PMI Holdings
Region conflict map

Countries

88.3PMI

Sudan Conflict Index

Country

A prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Sudan, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.

africa
2 Contracts
31.1PMI

Nigeria Conflict Index

Country

A prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Nigeria, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.

africa
2 Contracts
30.0PMI

Algeria Conflict Index

Country

A prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Algeria, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.

africa
1 Contracts
30.0PMI

Morocco Conflict Index

Country

A prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Morocco, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.

africa
1 Contracts
24.6PMI

Ethiopia Conflict Index

Country

A prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Ethiopia, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.

africa
3 Contracts
19.8PMI

Eritrea Conflict Index

Country

A prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Eritrea, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.

africa
2 Contracts
17.0PMI

Mali Conflict Index

Country

A prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Mali, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.

africa
1 Contracts