Africa
Every country in Africa, weighted by GDP and population, rolled into one PMIPrediction Market Index: a 0–100 reading of what traders are paying on live contracts, weighted by the money behind each one.. Countries with no market count as zero.
LIVE$50 TRADED / 24H·2 OF 53 COUNTRIES PRICED·3 CONTRACTS·2 EXCHANGES·AS OF OCT 27, 16:57 UTC
1.9Africa · 5th of 5 regions
— 24h · — 7 days
— 24h · — 7 days
Africa reading · Sep 27 – Oct 27
Sep 27Oct 27
4.030D HIGH
1.230D LOW
▲ 0.830D CHANGE
✦ MICAH BRIEF · AFRICAUPDATED 16:57 UTC
Africa reads calm, 5th of 5 regions. Eritrea carries the highest reading.
Eritrea reads highest in Africa32.0
51 of 53 countries have no market—
COLOR = PMI · GRAY = NO MARKET
PMI 0–100
015304560
No market — a coverage gap, not peace
By country · 2 of 53 priced · tap one
Countries ranked by PMI
Sort by
Thin = under $10K a day, where one trade can move the price. — = no move recorded for this window.
Contracts to watch · AFRICA
Where the money is
QUESTIONYES24H VOL
Will Ethiopia and Eritrea resume armed conflict?Manifold ◦ · Eritrea · 2 contracts70%Ṁ369Will Ethiopia target Eritrea by December 31, 2026?Polymarket · Eritrea32%$50A question folds every contract that asks it, across exchanges. 24h vol = real money traded today. ◦ = play money, not counted.