Oman
Armed-conflict risk on Oman, priced from live prediction-market contracts and weighted by the money behind each one into a single PMIPrediction Market Index: a 0–100 reading of what traders are paying on live contracts, weighted by the money behind each one., which rolls up into Middle East and the world reading.
LIVE$134 TRADED / 24H·3 CONTRACTS·1 EXCHANGE·MIDDLE EAST·AS OF OCT 27, 17:56 UTC
15.5Low risk · 17th of 36 countries · thin book
— 24h · — 7d
— 24h · — 7d
Oman reading · Sep 27 – Oct 27
Sep 27Oct 27
76.030D HIGH
13.230D LOW
▼ 1.330D CHANGE
✦ ASK ABOUT OMAN
What is driving Oman's reading?What traders are pricing
The contracts that move Oman
Right-hand figure: share of today’s real-money volume. Rows open on the exchange.
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?27%Will Oman join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?1%Will Iran target Oman by November 30, 2026?6%
3 contracts carry all of today's volume. 3 of the 3 trade under $5K a day, so one trade can move them.
OTHER COUNTRIES IN MIDDLE EAST
Gaza 93.0 ›Saudi Arabia 55.2 ›Syria 42.9 ›Lebanon 41.7 ›United Arab Emirates 37.6 ›Iraq 34.8 ›Iran 22.7 ›Yemen 21.1 ›Israel 19.7 ›Jordan 15.3 ›Bahrain 11.0 ›Kuwait 9.5 ›Qatar 4.0 ›
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