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Oman
Market-implied armed-conflict heat for this country, with the contributing prediction-market contracts.
15.7
PMIWhat PMI meansPMI is the index's own 0–100 score — NOT the probability of a market's wording. Every contract is oriented to the index's theme, so a “below / no / peace” market shows a HIGH PMI when that outcome is unlikely. 100 = markets fully back the index's direction, 50 = balanced, 0 = the opposite.
CalmConflict
6
Contracts
3
Prediction Market Exchanges
6
PMI Holdings
PMI Holdings
Exchanges
2.5PMI
Will Trump bomb Oman?Manifold
$846
24.0PMI
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?Polymarket
$697
7.8PMI
Will the US bomb Oman by the end of September?Manifold
$272
5.0PMI
Will the United States attack Oman before 2027?Metaculus
$101
8.4PMI
Will Iran target Oman by September 30, 2026?Polymarket
$86
9.0PMI
Will Oman join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Polymarket
$0