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Yemen
Market-implied armed-conflict heat for this country, with the contributing prediction-market contracts.
32.9
PMIWhat PMI meansPMI is the index's own 0–100 score — NOT the probability of a market's wording. Every contract is oriented to the index's theme, so a “below / no / peace” market shows a HIGH PMI when that outcome is unlikely. 100 = markets fully back the index's direction, 50 = balanced, 0 = the opposite.
CalmConflict
6
Contracts
1
Prediction Market Exchanges
6
PMI Holdings
PMI Holdings
Exchanges
17.3PMI
Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026?Polymarket
$3.5k
16.0PMI
Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Polymarket
$3.1k
50.8PMI
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?Polymarket
$977
8.8PMI
Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?Polymarket
$628
25.0PMI
Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?Polymarket
$355
96.4PMI
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?Polymarket
$25