++++
Syria
Market-implied armed-conflict heat for this country, with the contributing prediction-market contracts.
22.7
PMIWhat PMI meansPMI is the index's own 0–100 score — NOT the probability of a market's wording. Every contract is oriented to the index's theme, so a “below / no / peace” market shows a HIGH PMI when that outcome is unlikely. 100 = markets fully back the index's direction, 50 = balanced, 0 = the opposite.
CalmConflict
5
Contracts
2
Prediction Market Exchanges
5
PMI Holdings
PMI Holdings
Exchanges
19.1PMI
Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?Polymarket
$735
87.7PMI
Will the United States cease its military campaign in Syria by 2026?Manifold
$332
54.5PMI
Will Syria and Israel go to war by 2030Manifold
$274
44.9PMI
Israeli invasion of Syria in December 2024 involves 20-year land grab?Manifold
$159
8.3PMI
Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026?Polymarket
$30